Aaron Rodgers Measureables
Height: 6-2
Weight: 223
Age: 34
Experience: 13 seasons
Status: Under contract through 2019
2-Time NFL MVP, 6-Time Pro Bowler
Green Bay Packers Projected Cap Space (Top 51): $16.5 Million (per Over The Cap)
Aaron Rodgers Profile
NFL MVP. Super Bowl MVP. 6-Time Pro Bowler. Aaron Rodgers resume speaks for itself. He’s, unquestionably, the best quarterback I have every seen with my own eyes. He has every desirable trait a team could want in a franchise quarterback.
Rodgers’ arm talent is amazing. He has a huge arm that has gotten better as his career has progressed. He has the velocity to push it through the tightest of windows and the touch to drop the ball in a bucket. He’s probably the most accurate quarterback in the NFL, especially down the field.
Rodgers is one of the most cerebral quarterbacks in the game and rarely turns the ball over, although he does force some balls he shouldn’t. He’s also technically sound, with quick feet and great athleticism to take that technique to a different level.
Rodgers is the highest-rated passer in NFL history, and his TD-INT ratio (4.1) and interception percentage (1.6). He’s carried many mediocre Packers teams to the playoffs.
Aaron Rodgers Production
Yr | G | W | L | Cmp % | Yds | TD | INT | Rate | GA | Rush TD |
2008 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 63.6 | 4038 | 28 | 13 | 93.8 | 16 | 4 |
2009 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 64.7 | 4434 | 30 | 7 | 103.2 | 11 | 5 |
2010 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 65.7 | 3922 | 28 | 11 | 101.2 | 12 | 4 |
2011 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 68.3 | 4643 | 45 | 6 | 122.5 | 6 | 3 |
2012 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 67.2 | 4295 | 39 | 8 | 108 | 12 | 2 |
2013 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 66.6 | 2536 | 17 | 6 | 104.9 | 6 | 0 |
2014 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 65.6 | 4381 | 38 | 5 | 112.2 | 7 | 2 |
2015 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 60.7 | 3821 | 31 | 8 | 92.7 | 12 | 1 |
2016 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 65.7 | 4428 | 40 | 7 | 104.2 | 11 | 4 |
2017 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 64.7 | 1675 | 16 | 6 | 97.2 | 7 | 0 |
Total | 142 | 94 | 48 | 65.2 | 38,173 | 312 | 77 | 104.2 | 100 | 25 |
Quarterback Market
As mentioned before, the quarterback market isn’t about who’s best. It’s about who’s next. It just so happens that this time around the best is next.
Player Comparables: SF Jimmy Garoppolo, DET Matthew Stafford, WAS Kirk Cousins
Contract Comparison
This is merely an exercise. None of the contract comparables are even close to the type of player that Rodgers is.
Player | Year | Age | Yrs | Total | APY | GTD | Full GTD | ‘18 APY |
Matthew Stafford | 2017 | 29 | 5 | $135.0M | $27.0M | $92.0M | $60.5M | $28.8M |
Jimmy Garoppolo | 2018 | 26 | 5 | $137.5M | $27.5M | $74.1M | $48.7M | $27.5M |
Averages | – | 27.5 | 5.0 | $136.3M | $27.3M | $83.1M | $54.6M | $28.2M |
2018 Salary Cap Adjusted Average Annual Value: $28.2 million
Statistical Comparison
Rodgers is the most talented quarterback in NFL history. I have no problem making that statement. He has carried the Packers offense since becoming the full-time starter in 2008.
Player | Years | W-L | Comp Pct | Pass YPG | Yards/Att | TD/Gm | INT/Gm | Passer Rating |
Jimmy Garoppolo | 2016-17 | 7-0 | 68.1 | 291.1 | 8.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 100.7 |
Matthew Stafford | 2015-16 | 16-16 | 66.3 | 268.4 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 95.1 |
Kirk Cousins | 2016-17 | 15-16-1 | 65.7 | 281.6 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 95.6 |
Averages | – | – | 66.7 | 280.4 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 97.1 |
Aaron Rodgers | 2015-16 | 20-12 | 63.3 | 257.8 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 98.6 |
Leverage
Rodgers is more valuable to his team than any other player in the NFL. He may still have two seasons left on his contract, but he also has an unprecedented skill set that commands to be paid at the top of the positional market.
Reservation Price
If the Packers weren’t already talking about making him the highest paid player in NFL history, then there isn’t much of a conversation to be had.
Salary Floor: Highest-paid player in NFL history
There’s only one reason Rodgers would wait for the Cousins deal to get done: it’s going to be the floor for his negotiations moving forward.
Salary Ceiling: How high can you count?
On the open market, I truly believe Rodgers could earn $40 million a season. However, under the current circumstances, the ceiling would be $35 million per season.
Contract Projection
Rodgers is the Packers franchise; one of the faces of the NFL is compensated as such. Rodgers could take a shorter deal, ala Kirk Cousins, but the Packers will certainly offer a longer-term pact.
5 years, $165 million, $33 million APY, $110 million guaranteed, $85 million fully guaranteed
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